From: Jurriaan Bendien (adsl675281@TISCALI.NL)
Date: Thu Oct 12 2006 - 13:29:08 EDT
The final obscenity is really that the same people who said they didn't really care about the death statistics ("We don't do body counts," said Gen. Tommy Franks, and Iraqi mortuaries stopped compiling statistics by order), now claim that the results of this research into the death toll are not credible. "The US and Britain have long insisted they have not recorded Iraqi death figures. Yesterday, Mr Bush sought to dismiss the survey, claiming without elaboration that its methodology was flawed. "I don't consider it a credible report. Neither does General George Casey [the commander of US forces in Iraq] and neither do Iraqi officials," he said." http://news.independent.co.uk/world/politics/article1842559.ece Actually the Pentagon did estimate some Iraqi civilian deaths last year, and reported them to Congress: "Extrapolating the daily averages over the months from Jan. 1, 2004, to Sept. 16 [in 2005] results in a total of 25,902 Iraqi civilians and security forces killed and wounded by insurgents. (...) The casualties were compiled from reports filed by coalition military units after they responded to attacks, said Lt. Col. Barry Venable, a Pentagon spokesman, in answers to questions from The New York Times sent by e-mail." (...) "These incident reports are not intended to provide - and do not provide - a comprehensive account of Iraqi casualties," Colonel Venable said in his e-mail message. The information in the reports shows "trends in casualties resulting from insurgent attacks." http://www.nytimes.com/2005/10/30/international/middleeast/30civilians.html? ex=1288328400&en=f15ebf0dc78c12c1&ei=5088&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss The new Lancet study of "excess deaths" (i.e. the excess over the normal mortality in the population) concludes: "In Iraq, as with other conflicts, civilians bear the consequences of warfare. In the Vietnam war, 3 million civilians died; in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, conflict has been responsible for 3·8 million deaths; and an estimated 200000 of a total population of 800000 died in conflict in East Timor. Recent estimates are that 200000 people have died in Darfur over the past 31 months. We estimate that almost 655000 people-2·5% of the population in the study area-have died in Iraq. Although such death rates might be common in times of war, the combination of a long duration and tens of millions of people affected has made this the deadliest international conflict of the 21st century, and should be of grave concern to everyone. At the conclusion of our 2004 study we urged that an independent body assess the excess mortality that we saw in Iraq. This has not happened. We continue to believe that an independent international body to monitor compliance with the Geneva Conventions and other humanitarian standards in conflict is urgently needed. With reliable data, those voices that speak out for civilians trapped in conflict might be able to lessen the tragic human cost of future wars." http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140673606694919/fulltext "Dr Roberts [one of the authors of the study] said: "Yes [this finding was a surprise]. I didn't realise that things there were twice as bad as when we carried out our first survey in 2004. I did not know it was that much." Dr Roberts said he expected there would be many who would seek to undermine the report, as happened two years ago. But he said: "Let's have these people tell us what we have done wrong and what the true numbers are. Our study is pretty easy to verify. If they go to a graveyard in a small village and ask how many people are being put in the ground..." http://news.independent.co.uk/world/politics/article1842559.ece Jurriaan
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