From: Philip Dunn (hyl0morph@YAHOO.CO.UK)
Date: Sat Oct 20 2007 - 11:57:43 EDT
The next Mohun and Veneziani example: "2.3 Example 3: 'Proof' that the temporalist MELT is initially positive and finite (Kliman & Freeman 2006, pp. 122-3) Kliman and Freeman are emphatic that the temporalist MELT [tau] is not undefined, because it is the ratio of total price to total value. Rearranging equation (I), [tau](t + 1) = [tau](t)P(t + 1)/C(t) + [tau](t)L(t) (5) This serves to define the MELT of one period in terms of the preceding period's MELT. For this to be a definition, an independent definition of [tau](0) must be given. Kliman and Freeman conspicuously fail to do this. They have no explanation of why [tau](0) is independent of [tau](--1)--if it is not, there is an infinite regress; if it is, then there must be some explanation of why [tau](1) is not independent of [tau](0). None is forthcoming, and hence the TSSI MELT is undefined...." I do not think an independent *definition* of [tau](0) is necessary. It is already defined as the ratio of total price to total value for time t=0. Operationally, it is enough to give an initial estimate. This has been discussed here before: http://ricardo.ecn.wfu.edu/~cottrell/OPE/archive/9811/0029.html If you want to *measure* [tau](0) simply make an estimate of [tau](-20) and crunch the numbers. Phil PS Eqn 5 is a bit clearer written like this: [tau](t + 1) = [tau](t)P(t + 1) / { C(t) + [tau](t)L(t) } (5) ___________________________________________________________ All new Yahoo! Mail "The new Interface is stunning in its simplicity and ease of use." - PC Magazine http://uk.docs.yahoo.com/nowyoucan.html
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