Alejandro You're right -- von B. did indeed claim a law of small numbers based on this work. As for Keynes on probability, this is on my desert island/prison reading list, though I have managed to have a reasonably systematic look at Carabelli's book on the topic. Julian > >...Porter goes on to discuss Bortkiewicz's more > >interesting work on such things as the incidence of death from mule kicks > >among Prussian soldiers. > ... > I vaguely recall that Bortkiewicz called > the distribution of such events as the "law of small numbers". >
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