From: michael a. lebowitz (mlebowit@sfu.ca)
Date: Wed Mar 12 2003 - 09:10:00 EST
Dear friends and comrades, My learning curve is pretty steep at this time in relation to developments in Venezuela (and I definitely appreciate Rakesh's link for Bernard Mommer's paper with his points about the earlier effective privatisation of the oil industry there). I can pass on to anyone who is interested, however, a translated chapter of Marta Harnecker's book on Chavez, based on interviews with him; this is also on the Argentine website, www.rebelion.com, that has a page for her. The Znet page for 'Life after Capitalism' has the paper (in Spanish only) on Venezuela which she presented at the Z Magazine sessions for WSF at Porte Alegre. 'Venezuela: the way forward?' I assume that Jerry's title was not meant to ask if Venezuela is 'the' new model but, rather, if it is going forward. From what I understand, I'd say there is no question that it is. It's definitely not a socialist revolution, though, and whether it will become one remains to be seen. Marta's comment in the latter piece is that if we mean by revolution the nationalisation of the means of production, etc, there is no revolution but if we mean the development of revolutionary subjects, then there is a revolution. My provisional grasp is that there has been a very significant development of consciousness among the poor (identified regularly as 80% of the population) but that group (peasants and workers in the informal sector in particular) is not (yet) a class acting for itself; Chavez and the military are critical in this context in acting on their behalf--- but always, via Chavez, trying to activate the poor into self-movement. The natural governing strata, which continues to permeate the state apparatus, on the other hand, is intensely politicised and well-financed (by the usual suspects). In this sense, one might describe this as a case of dual power--- something very visible when you see the control of the streets of parts of Caracas by the metropolitan police (even though the army continues to occupy their police stations). I have lots of questions about what is happening in the economy and what the government goals are, and I hope to meet with people this week who can give me some answers. At this point, it looks like the goals are, on paper, relatively modest--- a return to an import-substitution model based upon a very significant change in the distribution of income. This focus, which corresponds to Lula's election programme in Brazil, involves an explicit rejection of neoliberalism's model of globalisation; and the momentum that emerges as this aspect becomes more pointed may be significant. Certainly, there seems to be no question that last April's coup and its defeat contributed enormously to popular consciousness and to 'putting the sword into the hands of the Social Revolution' (Marx). I think, too, that a successful and well-attended solidarity forum here in April will also contribute to the sense that they are not alone in this struggle. One brief point in relation to John's comment. Unlike the cases he outlined, Chavez did not come to power in a coup. He was elected and he continues to stress the democratic and constitutional path. At this point, this greatly constrains what the government can do, which is a source of (temporary?) weakness but at the same time is, in the concrete circumstances, essential to their strength (as the numbers who carry their little blue book, the constitution, would suggest). in solidarity, mike At 19:14 09/03/2003 +0200, you wrote: >Following Jerry’s [8565]: > >It seems to me also that the situation in Venezuela resembles to what had >been >described by Trotsky and Lenin as Dual Power. However, the Iranian >Revolution, >as well other cases from the past call us to be very cautious with what may >underlie a Dual Power expressed on the political or state level: It is not >necessarily on the one hand the block of bourgeoisie social forces, >challenged >by the proletarian or popular forces (aiming at an anti-capitalist class >power) >on the other. It may well be a severe hegemony crisis expressed (erupting >itself) in a fatal fight between two bourgeoisie forms of power (or >strategies), each one forming coalitions with different popular classes or >strata. I do not have any idea of the actual situation in Venezuela. >(However, >I very much esteem the theoretical and political views of Marta Harnecker and >other comrades who support Chaves). I am asking this question simply >because it >seems to me that coups like the ones of Naser in Egypt, Sadam in Iraq >etc., or >revolutions (TYPICALLY TAKING PLACE AFTER A PERIOD OF DUAL POWER) like the >one >of Khomeini in Iran were not anti-capitalist revolutions but political >reshufflings expressing the interests of pre-industrial capitalist forces >(the >BAZAAR), or/and state capitalism. > >Comradely, > >John M. --------------------- Michael A. Lebowitz Professor Emeritus Economics Department Simon Fraser University Burnaby, B.C., Canada V5A 1S6 Currently in Cuba. Can be reached at: Michael Lebowitz c/o MEPLA Calle 13 No. 504 ent. D y E, Vedado, La Habana, Cuba Codigo Postal 10 4000 (537) 33 30 75 or 832 21 54 telefax: (537) 33 30 75
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