From: Gerald A. Levy (Gerald_A_Levy@MSN.COM)
Date: Mon Oct 04 2004 - 09:20:54 EDT
Paul C,
Thanks for the clarification.
I'm not sure what you want to test in the following.
Transitions to what? Do you want to test the probability of a
transition from a social democratic-type mode of regulation,
conjuncture, stage, or social structure of accumulation (or
whatever term you prefer) to _another_ mode of regulation,
etc. _or_ to the socialist mode of production?
A more general question: In thinking about the probability
of transitions, why not employ game theory?
In solidarity, Jerry
.........................................................................
In addition one could look at whether there is a sufficient
number of examples of what one might call social democratic
transitions to make any generalisations about these.
To do this one would need some metric to estimate the
rate of progress of a social formation from capitalism to
socialism:
- one might use the percentage of social labour that
was not allocated by market means
- the percentage of the workforce publicly employed
- the percentage of output distributed according to need
rather than according to market incomes
- the percentage of the value of means of production in public
ownership
If one had figures on these one could then derive figures for the
flow rates between modes of production for a sample of
developed capitalist countries.
This would be how I would set about estimating the transition
probabilities, but the problem would be in attaching error bars
to the estimates.
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