From: Gerald_A_Levy@MSN.COM
Date: Thu Oct 28 2004 - 08:02:38 EDT
> Incidentally this distinction between the rate of return > on equities and the real rate of interest is one of the > reasons why, for all its mathematical rigour, the Okishio > theorem fails to regulate actual capital accumulation. Paul C, Could you explain this more? > The future is > no more overdetermined than the past. Both are characterised > by uncertainty, in that for a given volume of state space > at time t0 there exist time directed cones of possible > past and future configurations of existence. These are > strictly symetrical. The smaller the volume of contemporary > state space that we consider the smaller will be the > set of pasts and futures that are consistent with it. > There is of course an asymetry in our knowlege about the > past and future, but that is something quite distinct > from material determination. But this gets us into deep > questions regarding the philosophy of time. With apologies to Einstein: while our knowledge about the past is incomplete and affected by ideology and disinformation, etc., there is always (at least for 'modern' society) a greater level of uncertainty about the future -- *especially as the time horizon is extended*. The reason is not subjective. The reason is simply that the past has happened (and therefore can't be changed, even if our _knowledge_ of and _interpretations_ of the past can change) and the future hasn't. I am reminded of a line from a children's story: "All the King's horses and all the King's men can't put Humpty Dumpty together again". Now if Humpty Dumpty hadn't _already_ cracked, i.e. it was an event that had not (yet) happened, then (_if_ the cause was a a *social* event rather than a natural event that could be predicted with mathematical precision, e.g. the course of a comet) -- *especially as the time horizon is extended* -- the degree of uncertainty about what might happen is greater. In solidarity, Jerry
This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.5 : Fri Oct 29 2004 - 00:00:01 EDT