Re: [OPE-L] transition measures

From: Jerry Levy (Gerald_A_Levy@MSN.COM)
Date: Wed Dec 06 2006 - 10:21:54 EST


Hans:

I agree with the following except for the following caveat:
whether it's 10 years, less than 10 years, or *more than* 10 years
is unclear -- at least to me.  Different forecasts -- using different
assumptions -- have suggested different time periods.  *In any
event*, the emerging consensus among scientists is that the period
of time before the 'tipping point' arrives is  V E R Y short.

So, to return to my original question, do you really think that
there will be a social movement which will grow in size
and strength to such an extent that the required changes happen
before the Earth goes past the 'tipping point'?

I am disheartened to see that many progressives don't see
the  *U R G E N C Y* of this issue.  If it's not at or near the
top of a Leftist agenda for change, then what chance do we have?
If we have to rely on the goodwill of capital and the state, then
I think that the Earth is doomed.

In solidarity, Jerry



> if I said it must be done in the next 10 years then I meant by this:
> if it is not done in the next 10 years then there will be irreversible
> changes to the environment which will make survival a struggle and may
> lead to the extinction of the human race.  Some people say we don't
> have 10 years and the point of no return has already passed.  The next
> ten years is a historic window of opportunity which may not even exist.
>
> To those who predict that the changes won't happen fast enough my
> answer is: we truly do not know whether humankind will save itself
> from extinction.  Never in history has there been such a challenge
> before us.  This is an entirely new situation, therefore it is not
> possible to know how things will evolve.  The science and the economic
> resources to do it are available, and with the internet things may
> change very quickly on a world wide scale, therefore it is not
> entirely hopeless.  But my guess is that the chances that we will be
> able to meet this challenge is perhaps 5 percent.
>
> I am hoping that Paul's party will come out with a well thought-out
> platform which is exemplary for other parties, so that similar
> initiatives spring up over the whole world.  And I am hoping that
> despite the unpopularity of some of the measures the voters will say:
> this is the only way to do it, and vote for it.  You have to confront
> the voters with unpopular measures in order to drive home the urgency
> of the situation.  Yes I am thinking of an electoral route: this is
> an issue which can decide elections.


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