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Information Establishing Probable Cause
(Current Modern Test)
ILLINOIS v. LANCE AND SUSAN GATES
462 U.S. 213 (1983)
Justice REHNQUIST delivered the opinion of the Court.
Respondents Lance and Susan Gates were indicted for violation of
state drug laws after police officers, executing a search warrant,
discovered marijuana and other contraband in their automobile and home.
Prior to trial the Gates moved to suppress evidence seized during this
search. The Illinois Supreme Court affirmed the decisions of lower
state courts granting the motion. It held that the affidavit submitted
in support of the State's application for a warrant to search the Gates'
property was inadequate under this Court's decisions in Aguilar
v. Texas and Spinelli v. United States. We granted certiorari to
consider the application of the Fourth Amendment to a magistrate's
issuance of a search warrant on the basis of a partially corroborated
anonymous informant's tip.
A chronological statement of events usefully introduces the issues at
stake. Bloomingdale, Ill., is a suburb of Chicago located in DuPage
County. On May 3, 1978, the Bloomingdale Police Department received by
mail an anonymous handwritten letter which read as follows:
This letter is to inform you that you have a couple in your
town who strictly make their living on selling drugs. They are
Sue and Lance Gates, they live on Greenway, off Bloomingdale Rd.
in the condominiums. Most of their buys are done in Florida. Sue
his wife drives their car to Florida, where she leaves it to be
loaded up with drugs, then Lance flys down and drives it back.
Sue flys back after she drops the car off in Florida. May 3 she
is driving down there again and Lance will be flying down in a
few days to drive it back. At the time Lance drives the car back
he has the trunk loaded with over $100,000.00 in drugs.
Presently they have over $100,000.00 worth of drugs in their
basement. They are friends with some big drugs dealers, who
visit their house often.
Lance & Susan Gates
Greenway in Condominiums
The letter was referred by the Chief of Police of the Bloomingdale
Police Department to Detective Mader, who decided to pursue the tip.
Mader learned, from the office of the Illinois Secretary of State, that
an Illinois driver's license had been issued to one Lance Gates,
residing at a stated address in Bloomingdale. He contacted a
confidential informant, whose examination of certain financial records
revealed a more recent address for the Gates, and he also learned from a
police officer assigned to O'Hare Airport that "L. Gates" had
made a reservation on Eastern Airlines flight 245 to West Palm Beach,
Fla., scheduled to depart from Chicago on May 5 at 4:15 p.m.
Mader then made arrangements with an agent of the Drug Enforcement
Administration for surveillance of the May 5 Eastern Airlines flight.
The agent later reported to Mader that Gates had boarded the flight, and
that federal agents in Florida had observed him arrive in West Palm
Beach and take a taxi to the nearby Holiday Inn. They also reported that
Gates went to a room registered to one Susan Gates and that, at 7:00
a.m. the next morning, Gates and an unidentified woman left the motel in
a Mercury bearing Illinois license plates and drove northbound on an
interstate frequently used by travelers to the Chicago area. In
addition, the DEA agent informed Mader that the license plate number on
the Mercury registered to a Hornet station wagon owned by Gates. The
agent also advised Mader that the driving time between West Palm Beach
and Bloomingdale was approximately 22 to 24 hours.
Mader signed an affidavit setting forth the foregoing facts, and
submitted it to a judge of the Circuit Court of DuPage County, together
with a copy of the anonymous letter. The judge of that court thereupon
issued a search warrant for the Gates' residence and for their
automobile. The judge, in deciding to issue the warrant, could have
determined that the modus operandi of the Gates had been substantially
corroborated. As the anonymous letter predicted, Lance Gates had flown
from Chicago to West Palm Beach late in the afternoon of May 5th, had
checked into a hotel room registered in the name of his wife, and, at
7:00 a.m. the following morning, had headed north, accompanied by an
unidentified woman, out of West Palm Beach on an interstate
highway used by travelers from South Florida to Chicago in an automobile
bearing a license plate issued to him.
At 5:15 a.m. on March 7th, only 36 hours after he had flown out of
Chicago, Lance Gates, and his wife, returned to their home in
Bloomingdale, driving the car in which they had left West Palm Beach
some 22 hours earlier. The Bloomingdale police were awaiting them,
searched the trunk of the Mercury, and uncovered approximately 350
pounds of marijuana. A search of the Gates' home revealed marijuana,
weapons, and other contraband. The Illinois Circuit Court ordered
suppression of all these items, on the ground that the affidavit
submitted to the Circuit Judge failed to support the necessary
determination of probable cause to believe that the Gates' automobile
and home contained the contraband in question. This decision was
affirmed in turn by the Illinois Appellate Court and by a divided vote
of the Supreme Court of Illinois.
The Illinois Supreme Court concluded--and we are inclined to
agree--that, standing alone, the anonymous letter sent to the
Bloomingdale Police Department would not provide the basis for a
magistrate's determination that there was probable cause to believe
contraband would be found in the Gates' car and home. The letter
provides virtually nothing from which one might conclude that its author
is either honest or his information reliable; likewise, the letter gives
absolutely no indication of the basis for the writer's predictions
regarding the Gates' criminal activities. Something more was required,
then, before a magistrate could conclude that there was probable cause
to believe that contraband would be found in the Gates' home and car.
The Illinois Supreme Court also properly recognized that Detective
Mader's affidavit might be capable of supplementing the anonymous
letter with information sufficient to permit a determination of probable
cause. In holding that the affidavit in fact did not contain sufficient
additional information to sustain a determination of probable cause, the
Illinois court applied a "two-pronged test," derived from our decision
in Spinelli v. United States. The Illinois Supreme Court, like some
others, apparently understood Spinelli as requiring that the anonymous
letter satisfy each of two independent requirements before it could be
relied on. J.A., at 5. According to this view, the letter, as
supplemented by Mader's affidavit, first had to adequately reveal the
"basis of knowledge" of the letter writer--the particular means by which
he came by the information given in his report. Second, it had to
provide facts sufficiently establishing either the "veracity" of
the affiant's informant, or, alternatively, the "reliability" of the
informant's report in this particular case.
The Illinois court, alluding to an elaborate set of legal rules that
have developed among various lower courts to enforce the "two-pronged
test," found that the test had not been satisfied. First, the "veracity"
prong was not satisfied because, "there was simply no basis [for] ...
conclud[ing] that the anonymous person [who wrote the letter to the
Bloomingdale Police Department] was credible." The court indicated that
corroboration by police of details contained in the letter might never
satisfy the "veracity" prong, and in any event, could not do so if, as
in the present case, only "innocent" details are corroborated. In
addition, the letter gave no indication of the basis of its writer's
knowledge of the Gates' activities. The Illinois court understood Spinelli as permitting the detail contained in a tip to be used to infer
that the informant had a reliable basis for his statements, but it
thought that the anonymous letter failed to provide sufficient detail to
permit such an inference. Thus, it concluded that no showing of probable
cause had been made.
We agree with the Illinois Supreme Court that an informant's
"veracity," "reliability" and "basis of knowledge" are all highly
relevant in determining the value of his report. We do not agree,
however, that these elements should be understood as entirely separate
and independent requirements to be rigidly exacted in every case,[footnote 5] which the opinion of the Supreme Court of Illinois
would imply. Rather, as detailed below, they should be understood simply
as closely intertwined issues that may usefully illuminate the
commonsense, practical question whether there is "probable cause" to
believe that contraband or evidence is located in a particular place.
Footnote 5. The entirely independent character that the
Spinelli prongs have assumed is indicated both by the opinion of
the Illinois Supreme Court in this case, and by decisions of
other courts. One frequently cited decision, Stanley v. State,
19 Md.App. 507, 313 A.2d 847, 861 (Md.App.1974), remarks that
"the dual requirements represented by the two-pronged test are
analytically severable and an overkill on one prong will not
carry over to make up for a deficit on the other prong."
This totality of the circumstances approach is far more consistent
with our prior treatment of probable cause than is any rigid
demand that specific "tests" be satisfied by every informant's tip.
Perhaps the central teaching of our decisions bearing on the probable
cause standard is that it is a "practical, nontechnical conception." "In
dealing with probable cause, ... as the very name implies, we deal with
probabilities. These are not technical; they are the factual and
practical considerations of everyday life on which reasonable and
prudent men, not legal technicians, act." Our observation in regarding
"particularized suspicion," is also applicable to the probable cause
standard:
The process does not deal with hard certainties, but with
probabilities. Long before the law of probabilities was
articulated as such, practical people formulated certain
common-sense conclusions about human behavior; jurors as
factfinders are permitted to do the same--and so are law
enforcement officers. Finally, the evidence thus collected must
be seen and weighed not in terms of library analysis by
scholars, but as understood by those versed in the field of law
enforcement.
Moreover, the "two-pronged test" directs analysis into two largely
independent channels--the informant's "veracity" or "reliability" and
his "basis of knowledge." There are persuasive arguments against
according these two elements such independent status. Instead, they are
better understood as relevant considerations in the totality of
circumstances analysis that traditionally has guided probable cause
determinations: a deficiency in one may be compensated for, in
determining the overall reliability of a tip, by a strong showing as to
the other, or by some other indicia of reliability. Unlike a totality
of circumstances analysis, which permits a balanced assessment of the
relative weights of all the various indicia of reliability (and
unreliability) attending an informant's tip, the "two-pronged test" has
encouraged an excessively technical dissection of informants' tips, with
undue attention being focused on isolated issues that cannot
sensibly be divorced from the other facts presented to the magistrate.
We also have recognized that affidavits are normally drafted by
nonlawyers in the midst and haste of a criminal investigation. Technical
requirements of elaborate specificity once exacted under common law
pleading have no proper place in this area. Likewise, search and
arrest warrants long have been issued by persons who are neither lawyers
nor judges, and who certainly do not remain abreast of each judicial
refinement of the nature of "probable cause." The rigorous inquiry into
the Spinelli prongs and the complex superstructure of evidentiary and
analytical rules that some have seen implicit in our Spinelli decision,
cannot be reconciled with the fact that many warrants are--quite
properly, ibid.--issued on the basis of nontechnical,
common-sense judgments of laymen applying a standard less demanding than
those used in more formal legal proceedings. Likewise, given the
informal, often hurried context in which it must be applied, the
"built-in subtleties" of the "two-pronged test" are particularly
unlikely to assist magistrates in determining probable cause.
Similarly, we have repeatedly said that after-the-fact scrutiny by
courts of the sufficiency of an affidavit should not take the form of de
novo review. A magistrate's determination of probable cause should be
paid great deference by reviewing courts. A grudging or negative
attitude by reviewing courts toward warrants, is inconsistent with the
Fourth Amendment's strong preference for searches conducted pursuant to
a warrant "courts should not invalidate ... warrants by interpreting
affidavits in a hypertechnical, rather than a commonsense, manner."
Finally, the direction taken by decisions following Spinelli
poorly serves the most basic function of any government: to
provide for the security of the individual and of his property. The
strictures that inevitably accompany the "two-pronged test" cannot avoid
seriously impeding the task of law enforcement. If, as the Illinois
Supreme Court apparently thought, that test must be rigorously applied
in every case, anonymous tips seldom would be of greatly diminished
value in police work. Ordinary citizens, like ordinary witnesses,
generally do not provide extensive recitations of the basis of their
everyday observations. Likewise, as the Illinois Supreme Court observed
in this case, the veracity of persons supplying anonymous tips is by
hypothesis largely unknown, and unknowable. As a result, anonymous tips
seldom could survive a rigorous application of either of the Spinelli
prongs. Yet, such tips, particularly when supplemented by
independent police investigation, frequently contribute to the solution
of otherwise "perfect crimes." While a conscientious assessment of the
basis for crediting such tips is required by the Fourth Amendment, a
standard that leaves virtually no place for anonymous citizen informants
is not.
For all these reasons, we conclude that it is wiser to abandon the
"two- pronged test" established by our decisions in Aguilar and
Spinelli. In its place we reaffirm the totality of the
circumstances analysis that traditionally has informed probable cause
determinations. The task of the issuing magistrate is simply to make a
practical, common-sense decision whether, given all the circumstances
set forth in the affidavit before him, including the "veracity" and
"basis of knowledge" of persons supplying hearsay information, there is
a fair probability that contraband or evidence of a crime will be found
in a particular place. And the duty of a reviewing court is simply to
ensure that the magistrate had a "substantial basis for ...
conclud[ing]" that probable cause existed. We are convinced that
this flexible, easily applied standard will better achieve the
accommodation of public and private interests that the Fourth Amendment
requires than does the approach that has developed from Aguilar and
Spinelli.
Our earlier cases illustrate the limits beyond which a magistrate may
not venture in issuing a warrant. An officer's statement that
"affiants have received reliable information from a credible person and
believe" that heroin is stored in a home, is inadequate. Aguilar v.
Texas, 378 U.S. 108 (1964). [T]his is a mere conclusory statement that
gives the magistrate virtually no basis at all for making a judgment
regarding probable cause. Sufficient information must be presented to
the magistrate to allow that official to determine probable cause; his
action cannot be a mere ratification of the bare conclusions of others.
In order to ensure that such an abdication of the magistrate's duty does
not occur, courts must continue to conscientiously review the
sufficiency of affidavits on which warrants are issued. But when we move
beyond the "bare bones" affidavits present in cases such as Aguilar,
this area simply does not lend itself to a prescribed set of rules, like
that which had developed from Spinelli. Instead, the flexible,
common-sense standard articulated in [earlier cases] better serves the
purposes of the Fourth Amendment's probable cause requirement.
The essential protection of the warrant requirement of the Fourth
Amendment is in "requiring that [the usual inferences which reasonable
men draw from evidence] be drawn by a neutral and detached magistrate
instead of being judged by the officer engaged in the often competitive
enterprise of ferreting out crime." Nothing in our opinion in any way
lessens the authority of the magistrate to draw such reasonable
inferences as he will from the material supplied to him by applicants
for a warrant; indeed, he is freer than under the regime of Aguilar and Spinelli to draw such inferences, or to refuse to draw them if he is so
minded.
The real gist of Justice BRENNAN's criticism seems to be a second
argument, somewhat at odds with the first, that magistrates should be
restricted in their authority to make probable cause determinations by
the standards laid down in Aguilar and Spinelli, and that such findings
"should not be authorized unless there is some assurance that the
information on which they are based has been obtained in a reliable way
by an honest or credible person." However, under our opinion magistrates
remain perfectly free to exact such assurances as they deem necessary,
as well as those required by this opinion, in making probable cause
determinations. Justice BRENNAN would apparently prefer that magistrates
be restricted in their findings of probable cause by the development of
an elaborate body of case law dealing with the "veracity" prong of the
Spinelli test, which in turn is broken down into two "spurs"--the
informant's "credibility" and the "reliability" of his information,
together with the "basis of knowledge" prong of the Spinelli
test. That such a labyrinthine body of judicial refinement bears any
relationship to familiar definitions of probable cause is hard to
imagine.
The showing of probable cause in the present case was [compelling].
Even standing alone, the facts obtained through the independent
investigation of Mader and the DEA at least suggested that the Gates
were involved in drug trafficking. In addition to being a popular
vacation site, Florida is well-known as a source of narcotics and other
illegal drugs. Lance Gates flight to Palm Beach, his brief, overnight
stay in a motel, and apparent immediate return north to Chicago in the
family car, conveniently awaiting him in West Palm Beach, is as
suggestive of a pre-arranged drug run, as it is of an ordinary vacation
trip.
In addition, the magistrate could rely on the anonymous letter, which
had been corroborated in major part by Mader's efforts. [Although the
honesty and reliability of the anonymous informant in this case were
unknown to the Bloomingdale police at the time the police department
received the anonymous letter], it became far less significant after Mader's independent investigative work occurred. The corroboration of
the letter's predictions that the Gates' car would be in Florida, that
Lance Gates would fly to Florida in the next day or so, and that he
would drive the car north toward Bloomingdale all indicated, albeit not
with certainty, that the informant's other assertions also were true.
"Because an informant is right about some things, he is more probably
right about other facts," --including the claim regarding the Gates'
illegal activity. This may well not be the type of "reliability" or
"veracity" necessary to satisfy some views of the "veracity prong" of
Spinelli, but we think it suffices for the practical, common-sense
judgment called for in making a probable cause determination. It is
enough, for purposes of assessing probable cause, that "corroboration
through other sources of information reduced the chances of a
reckless or prevaricating tale," thus providing "a substantial basis for
crediting the hearsay."
Finally, the anonymous letter contained a range of details relating
not just to easily obtained facts and conditions existing at the time of
the tip, but to future actions of third parties ordinarily not
easily predicted. The letter writer's accurate information as to the
travel plans of each of the Gates was of a character likely obtained
only from the Gates themselves, or from someone familiar with their not
entirely ordinary travel plans. If the informant had access to accurate
information of this type a magistrate could properly conclude that it
was not unlikely that he also had access to reliable information of the
Gates' alleged illegal activities. Of course, the Gates travel
plans might have been learned from a talkative neighbor or travel agent;
under the "two-pronged test" developed from Spinelli, the character of
the details in the anonymous letter might well not permit a sufficiently
clear inference regarding the letter writer's "basis of knowledge." But,
as discussed previously, supra, 2332, probable cause does not demand the
certainty we associate with formal trials. It is enough that there was a
fair probability that the writer of the anonymous letter had obtained
his entire story either from the Gates or someone they trusted. And
corroboration of major portions of the letter's predictions provides
just this probability. It is apparent, therefore, that the judge issuing
the warrant had a "substantial basis for ... conclud[ing]" that
probable cause to search the Gates' home and car existed. The judgment of the
Supreme Court of Illinois therefore must be reversed.
Justice WHITE, concurring in the judgment.
I am inclined to believe that, when applied properly, the
Aguilar-Spinelli rules play an appropriate role in probable cause
determinations, and because the Court's holding may foretell an
evisceration of the probable cause standard, I do not join the Court's
holding.
The Court reasons that the "veracity" and "basis of knowledge" tests
are not independent, and that a deficiency as to one can be compensated
for by a strong showing as to the other. Thus, a finding of probable
cause may be based on a tip from an informant "known for the unusual
reliability of his predictions" or from "an unquestionably honest
citizen," even if the report fails thoroughly to set forth the basis
upon which the information was obtained. If this is so, then it must
follow a fortiori that "the affidavit of an officer, known by the
magistrate to be honest and experienced, stating that [contraband] is
located in a certain building" must be acceptable. It would be
"quixotic" if a similar statement from an honest informant, but not one
from an honest officer, could furnish probable cause. But we have
repeatedly held that the unsupported assertion or belief of an officer
does not satisfy the probable cause requirement. Thus, this portion of
today's holding can be read as implicitly rejecting the teachings of
these prior holdings.
The Court may not intend so drastic a result. Indeed, the Court
expressly reaffirms, the validity of cases that have held that, no
matter how reliable the affiant-officer may be, a warrant should not be
issued unless the affidavit discloses supporting facts and
circumstances. The Court limits these cases to situations involving
affidavits containing only "bare conclusions" and holds that, if an
affidavit contains anything more, it should be left to the issuing
magistrate to decide, based solely on "practical[ity]" and
"common-sense," whether there is a fair probability that contraband will
be found in a particular place.
Thus, as I read the majority opinion, it appears that the question
whether the probable cause standard is to be diluted is left to the
common-sense judgments of issuing magistrates. I am reluctant to approve
any standard that does not expressly require, as a prerequisite to
issuance of a warrant, some showing of facts from which an inference may
be drawn that the informant is credible and that his information was
obtained in a reliable way. I believe, however, that with clarification
of the rule of corroborating information, the lower courts are
fully able to properly interpret Aguilar-Spinelli and avoid such
unduly-rigid applications. Hence, I do not join the Court's opinion
rejecting the Aguilar-Spinelli rules.
Justice BRENNAN, with whom Justice MARSHALL joins, dissenting.
Although I join Justice STEVENS dissenting opinion and agree with
him that the warrant is invalid even under the Court's newly announced
"totality of the circumstances" test, I write separately to dissent from
the Court's unjustified and ill-advised rejection of the two-prong test
for evaluating the validity of a warrant based on hearsay announced in
Aguilar and refined in Spinelli.
The Court's current Fourth Amendment jurisprudence, as reflected by
today's unfortunate decision, patently disregards Justice Jackson's
admonition in Brinegar v. United States:
[Fourth Amendment rights] are not mere second-class rights
but belong in the catalog of indispensable freedoms. Among
deprivations of rights, none is so effective in cowing a
population, crushing the spirit of the individual and putting
terror in every heart. Uncontrolled search and seizure is
one of the first and most effective weapons in the arsenal of
every arbitrary government....
But the right to be secure against searches and seizures is
one of the most difficult to protect. Since the officers are
themselves the chief invaders, there is no enforcement outside
of court.
Properly understood, Spinelli stands for the proposition
that corroboration of certain details in a tip may be sufficient to
satisfy the veracity, but not the basis of knowledge, prong of
Aguilar. As noted, Spinelli also suggests that in some
limited circumstances considerable detail in an informant's tip may be
adequate to satisfy the basis of knowledge prong of Aguilar.
In light of the important purposes served by Aguilar and
Spinelli, I would not reject the standards they establish. If
anything, I simply would make more clear that Spinelli, properly
understood, does not depart in any fundamental way from the test
established by Aguilar. For reasons I shall next state, I do not
find persuasive the Court's justifications for rejecting the test
established by Aguilar and refined by Spinelli.
In rejecting the Aguilar-Spinelli standards, the Court
suggests that a "totality of the circumstances approach is far more
consistent with our prior treatment of probable cause than is any rigid
demand that specific tests be satisfied by every informant's tip." In
support of this proposition the Court relies on several cases that
purportedly reflect this approach and on the "practical, nontechnical"
nature of probable cause.
[O]ne can concede that probable cause is a "practical, nontechnical"
concept without betraying the values that Aguilar and Spinelli
reflect. As noted, Aguilar and Spinelli require the
police to provide magistrates with certain crucial information. They
also provide structure for magistrates probable cause inquiries. In so
doing, Aguilar and Spinelli preserve the role of
magistrates as independent arbiters of probable cause, insure greater
accuracy in probable cause determinations, and advance the substantive
value of precluding findings of probable cause, and attendant
intrusions, based on anything less than information from an honest or
credible person who has acquired his information in a reliable way.
Neither the standards nor their effects are inconsistent with a
"practical, nontechnical" conception of probable cause. Once a
magistrate has determined that he has information before him that he can
reasonably say has been obtained in a reliable way by a credible person,
he has ample room to use his common sense and to apply a practical,
nontechnical conception of probable cause.
It also should be emphasized that cases such as Nathanson v. United
States, and Giordenello v. United States directly contradict the Court's
suggestion that a strong showing on one prong of the Aguilar test
should compensate for a deficient showing on the other. If the
conclusory allegations of a presumptively reliable police officer are
insufficient to establish probable cause, there is no conceivable reason
why the conclusory allegations of an anonymous informant should not be
insufficient as well. Moreover, contrary to the Court's implicit
suggestion, Aguilar and Spinelli do not stand as an insuperable barrier
to the use of even anonymous informants' tips to establish
probable cause. It is no justification for rejecting them outright that
some courts may have employed an overly technical version of the
Aguilar-Spinelli standards.
The Court also insists that the Aguilar-Spinelli standards must be
abandoned because they are inconsistent with the fact that non-lawyers
frequently serve as magistrates. To the contrary, the standards help to
structure probable cause inquiries and, properly interpreted, may
actually help a non-lawyer magistrate in making a probable cause
determination. Moreover, the Aguilar and Spinelli tests are not
inconsistent with deference to magistrates' determinations of probable
cause. Aguilar expressly acknowledged that reviewing courts "will pay
substantial deference to judicial determinations of probable cause...."
In Spinelli, the Court noted that it was not retreating from the
proposition that magistrates' determinations of probable cause
"should be paid great deference by reviewing courts...." * * *
By replacing Aguilar and Spinelli with a test that provides no
assurance that magistrates, rather than the police, or informants, will
make determinations of probable cause; imposes no structure on
magistrates' probable cause inquiries; and invites the possibility that
intrusions may be justified on less than reliable information from an
honest or credible person, today's decision threatens to obliterate one
of the most fundamental distinctions between our form of government,
where officers are under the law, and the police-state where they are
the law.
Justice STEVENS, with whom Justice BRENNAN joins, dissenting.
The fact that Lance and Sue Gates made a 22-hour nonstop drive from
West Palm Beach, Florida, to Bloomingdale, Illinois, only a few hours
after Lance had flown to Florida provided persuasive evidence that they
were engaged in illicit activity. That fact, however, was not known to
the magistrate when he issued the warrant to search their home.
The discrepancy between the informant's predictions and the facts
known to Detective Mader is significant for three reasons. First, it
cast doubt on the informant's hypothesis that the Gates already had
"over $100,000 worth of drugs in their basement," The informant had
predicted an itinerary that always kept one spouse in
Bloomingdale, suggesting that the Gates did not want to leave their home
unguarded because something valuable was hidden within. That inference
obviously could not be drawn when it was known that the pair was
actually together over a thousand miles from home.
Second, the discrepancy made the Gates' conduct seem substantially
less unusual than the informant had predicted it would be. It would have
been odd if, as predicted, Sue had driven down to Florida on Wednesday,
left the car, and flown right back to Illinois. But the mere facts that
Sue was in West Palm Beach with the car, that she was joined by her
husband at the Holiday Inn on Friday, and that the couple drove north
together the next morning are neither unusual nor probative of criminal
activity.
Third, the fact that the anonymous letter contained a material
mistake undermines the reasonableness of relying on it as a basis for
making a forcible entry into a private home.
Of course, the activities in this case did not stop when the
magistrate issued the warrant. The Gates drove all night to
Bloomingdale, the officers searched the car and found 400 pounds of
marijuana, and then they searched the house. However, none of these
subsequent events may be considered in evaluating the warrant, and the
search of the house was legal only if the warrant was valid. I cannot
accept the Court's casual conclusion that, before the Gates arrived in
Bloomingdale, there was probable cause to justify a valid entry and
search of a private home. No one knows who the informant in this case
was, or what motivated him or her to write the note. Given that the
note's predictions were faulty in one significant respect, and
were corroborated by nothing except ordinary innocent activity, I
must surmise that the Court's evaluation of the warrant's validity has
been colored by subsequent events.
In apologizing for its belated realization that we should not have
ordered reargument in this case, the Court today shows high regard for
the appropriate relationship of this Court to state courts. When the
Court discusses the merits, however, it attaches no weight to the
conclusions of the Circuit Judge of DuPage County, Illinois, of the
three judges of the Second District of the Illinois Appellate Court, or
of the five justices of the Illinois Supreme Court, all of whom
concluded that the warrant was not based on probable cause. In a
fact-bound inquiry of this sort, the judgment of three levels of state
courts, all of whom are better able to evaluate the probable reliability
of anonymous informants in Bloomingdale, Illinois, than we are, should
be entitled to at least a presumption of accuracy.
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